Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 64.586487 72.956439 81.573571 91.077716 101.236266 111.740711 123.395451
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 51.678097 63.599429 76.485071 91.322937 107.816410 125.475889 145.702464
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 44.255337 58.128006 73.671691 92.121087 113.177728 136.237827 163.182067
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 37.599983 52.572291 69.923278 91.088423 115.807341 143.401460 176.179987
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 33.562715 49.571880 68.669020 92.497875 120.848928 152.978127 191.633023
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 30.423725 47.297745 67.967337 94.282961 126.101055 162.624860 207.038491
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 26.521017 43.654117 65.258034 93.357187 127.903756 168.080845 217.462966
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 22.596049 39.593900 61.702833 91.103435 127.866716 171.180775 224.980393
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 21.393718 39.120097 62.660096 94.418698 134.561435 182.244819 241.858962
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 19.967855 38.187731 62.908458 96.751011 139.990729 191.767778 256.913472
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 17.526696 35.555337 60.703983 95.771251 141.175852 196.081684 265.697747
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 15.286919 33.005130 58.438666 94.564157 141.955893 199.813723 273.717199
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 13.657550 31.274462 57.240424 94.739442 144.505229 205.768058 284.521597
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 12.204008 29.683566 56.139742 94.971491 147.081684 211.738242 295.354821
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 11.057291 28.483851 55.519851 95.791917 150.374578 218.572782 307.235304
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.561182 26.505877 53.618012 94.733601 151.125331 222.166921 315.098009
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.794882 25.760897 53.527434 96.177549 155.164350 229.902365 328.086414
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 8.178766 25.230692 53.726290 98.005954 159.705254 238.278427 341.889335
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 7.053887 23.568934 52.046982 97.057750 160.456680 241.784611 349.603390
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.805841 21.460330 49.511203 94.749031 159.273629 242.741910 354.075466
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.662701 21.704035 50.837096 98.144973 165.908926 253.813624 371.302833
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.360915 21.557295 51.491780 100.533393 171.161722 263.108626 386.316296
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 4.561166 20.145789 49.927368 99.530127 171.681178 266.222495 393.498646